Analysing the Effects of Adding Shared Electric Bicycles as a New Mode on the Modal Split of Multimodal Trips between Delft and Rotterdam Using an Unlabelled Multimodal Supernetwork

Abstract

Assessing to what extent new modes will change modal split is difficult, since revealed preference data is not available yet to estimate models. To address this, an unlabelled multimodal supernetwork is developed in which mode and route choice are simultaneously modelled. The model has been estimated based on data of existing modes and can be used to assess the impact of any new mode. We applied the model to analyse the effects of shared e-bicycles on one OriginDestination pair between Delft and Rotterdam. The main scientific contribution of this paper is that it successfully demonstrates how an unlabelled multimodal supernetwork can be used to analyse the effects of shared e-bicycles on the modal split between Delft and Rotterdam. The results show that the modal share of shared e-bicycles is 35.3-40.5% for unimodal trips and occur in 36.2-46.3% of multimodal trips, indicating that shared e-bicycles can significantly change the modal split.